Forecast vs. reality, on the record.

Four real moves. Four baselines. Four forecasts. Four actual outcomes — scored against reality. One landed on the nose. One beat the forecast by 13%. One re-negotiated a vendor 8% above forecast. One pricing counterfactual landed directionally within 3 points.

Click any case to see the forecast number, the baseline, the actual result, the delta in points, and the lesson MindLoop carried into the next run on the same world.